Germline genetic variants and epilepsy surgery response: individual-participant pooled analysis of 269 patients

Background Genetic testing is increasingly used in presurgical evaluation, but the yield of resection across germline genetic epilepsies remains uncertain. Methods We conducted a systematic review of MEDLINE (PubMed) and Scopus and added cases from three institutional cohorts and the Pediatric Epilepsy Research Consortium (PERC) databases, including individuals with pathogenic/likely pathogenic germline variants besides tuberous sclerosis and neurofibromatosis who underwent resection or laser ablation. Etiologies were grouped into biologically informed categories (GATORopathies, vascular, overgrowth, CNVs, channelopathies, synaptopathies, other). Primary outcome was seizure freedom (Engel I) at last follow-up. Group comparisons used Fisher’s exact and Kruskal-Wallis tests (p=0.05; Bonferroni when applicable). Prespecified sensitivity analyses stratified by lesional status, excluded GATORopathies, and restricted to literature-only cases. Results We included 223 literature cases (64 studies), 35 institutional cases, and 11 PERC cases (n=269). Median follow-up was 24 months (IQR 12-48.0). Seizure freedom was achieved in: vascular disorders 14/19 (73.6%), GATORopathies 79/120 (67.5%), CNVs 18/31 (66.7%), overgrowth 7/13 (53.8%), other 16/25 (41.7%), channelopathies 13/43 (33.3%), and synaptopathies 4/18 (22.2%) (overall p<0.001). Among cases with known imaging, 208/253 (82.2%) had epileptogenic MRI lesions, including 64% of channelopathies and 80% of the synaptopathies. In univariate contrasts (each category vs all others), odds of seizure freedom were higher for vascular disorders (2.66-fold, 95% CI 0.87-9.72) and GATORopathies (2.46-fold, 95% CI 1.46-4.18), and lower for synaptopathies (~4.2-fold lower, OR 0.24, 95% CI 0.05-0.78) and channelopathies (~4.5-fold lower, OR 0.22, 95% CI 0.09-0.48). Direction and magnitude were consistent across prespecified sensitivity analyses (lesional-only, literature-only, exclusion of GATORopathies). Conclusions Resective surgeries can be effective in germline genetic epilepsies, but outcomes vary by pathway. Disorders with discrete, lesional substrates (GATORopathies, vascular) show the highest likelihood of seizure freedom, whereas channelopathies and synaptopathies, despite the presence of MRI lesions, have substantially lower yields even in lesional cases. Prospective, genotype-aware surgical registries with standardized reporting (EEG, imaging, pathology) and time-to-event outcomes are needed to refine the selection of surgical candidates and quantify seizure and non-seizure-related outcomes.