Institutions for the Post-Scarcity of Judgment

arXiv:2604.22966v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Each major technological revolution inverts a particular scarcity and rebuilds institutions around the shift. The near-consensus diagnosis of the AI

arXiv:2604.22951v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Natural language data follows a power-law distribution, with most knowledge and skills appearing at very low frequency. While a common intuition suggests that reweighting or curating data towards a uniform distribution may help models better learn these long-tail skills, we find a counterintuitive result: across a wide range of compositional reasoning tasks, such as state tracking and multi-step arithmetic, training under power-law distributions consistently outperforms training under uniform distributions. To understand this advantage, we introduce a minimalist skill-composition task and show that learning under a power-law distribution provably requires significantly less training data. Our theoretical analysis reveals that power law sampling induces a beneficial asymmetry that improves the pathological loss landscape, which enables models to first acquire high-frequency skill compositions with low data complexity, which in turn serves as a stepping stone to efficiently learn rare long-tailed skills. Our results offer an alternative perspective on what constitutes an effective data distribution for training models.

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