Evolutionary Search for Automated Design of Uncertainty Quantification Methods

arXiv:2604.03473v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods for large language models are predominantly designed by hand based on domain knowledge and heuristics, limiting their scalability and generality. We apply LLM-powered evolutionary search to automatically discover unsupervised UQ methods represented as Python programs. On the task of atomic claim verification, our evolved methods outperform strong manually-designed baselines, achieving up to 6.7% relative ROC-AUC improvement across 9 datasets while generalizing robustly out-of-distribution. Qualitative analysis reveals that different LLMs employ qualitatively distinct evolutionary strategies: Claude models consistently design high-feature-count linear estimators, while Gpt-oss-120B gravitates toward simpler and more interpretable positional weighting schemes. Surprisingly, only Sonnet 4.5 and Opus 4.5 reliably leverage increased method complexity to improve performance — Opus 4.6 shows an unexpected regression relative to its predecessor. Overall, our results indicate that LLM-powered evolutionary search is a promising paradigm for automated, interpretable hallucination detector design.