Molecular Embedding-Based Algorithm Selection in Protein-Ligand Docking

arXiv:2512.02328v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: Selecting an effective docking algorithm is highly context-dependent, and no single method performs reliably across structural, chemical, and protocol regimes. MolAS is a lightweight algorithm-selection model that predicts per-algorithm performance from pretrained protein and ligand embeddings using attentional pooling and a shallow residual decoder. With hundreds to a few thousand labelled complexes, MolAS achieves up to a 15 percentage-point absolute improvement over the single-best solver (SBS) and closes 17–66% of the Virtual Best Solver (VBS)–SBS gap across five docking benchmarks. Analyses of selection frequencies, margin-conditioned reliability, and benchmark-level oracle structure indicate that MolAS is most effective when the workflow-defined oracle landscape has low winner entropy and a reasonably separable top-solver region, but degrades under protocol mismatch that shifts solver rankings and changes the induced labels. These results suggest that, in the evaluated regime, robustness is limited less by representational capacity than by workflow- and protocol-induced instability in solver hierarchies, positioning MolAS as an in-domain selector for fixed pipelines and as a diagnostic tool for assessing when docking algorithm selection is well-posed.